Where predictions
become competition.
Prediction Arena is the social competition layer for prediction markets. We turn their odds into fun games anyone can play — play with friends, team up, go solo, or face the whole community.
Play with friends · Compete in seasons · Your record is the proof
2028 Presidential Election
4 eventsWill JD Vance win the 2028 election?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 election?
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 election?
US-China Trade Relations
2 eventsWill there be a US-China trade deal by 2027?
Will US tariffs on China exceed 60% by 2027?
2026 FIFA World Cup
5 eventsWill Spain win the 2026 World Cup?
Will France win the 2026 World Cup?
Will Argentina win the 2026 World Cup?
Bitcoin Price Milestones
3 eventsWill Bitcoin reach $200K by end of 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $150K by July 2026?
Will Bitcoin close above $100K in Q3 2026?
Federal Reserve Rate Decisions
2 eventsWill the Fed cut rates in June 2026?
Will US enter recession by end of 2026?
GPT-5 & Next-Gen AI
2 eventsWill GPT-5 be released by July 2026?
Will OpenAI IPO by end of 2026?
2026 Box Office Race
1 eventWill a Marvel movie gross $2B in 2026?
SpaceX Mars Mission
1 eventWill SpaceX complete a crewed Mars mission by 2030?
2028 Presidential Election
4 eventsWill JD Vance win the 2028 election?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 election?
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 election?
US-China Trade Relations
2 eventsWill there be a US-China trade deal by 2027?
Will US tariffs on China exceed 60% by 2027?
2026 FIFA World Cup
5 eventsWill Spain win the 2026 World Cup?
Will France win the 2026 World Cup?
Will Argentina win the 2026 World Cup?
Bitcoin Price Milestones
3 eventsWill Bitcoin reach $200K by end of 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $150K by July 2026?
Will Bitcoin close above $100K in Q3 2026?
Federal Reserve Rate Decisions
2 eventsWill the Fed cut rates in June 2026?
Will US enter recession by end of 2026?
GPT-5 & Next-Gen AI
2 eventsWill GPT-5 be released by July 2026?
Will OpenAI IPO by end of 2026?
2026 Box Office Race
1 eventWill a Marvel movie gross $2B in 2026?
SpaceX Mars Mission
1 eventWill SpaceX complete a crewed Mars mission by 2030?
How It Works
Explore What’s Happening
Browse thousands of real-world events with live odds — elections, crypto prices, AI milestones, geopolitical shifts, sports outcomes, scientific breakthroughs, and more. Everything is organized into categories, subcategories, and tagged by entity so you can find exactly the topics you follow.
Play With Your People
Create a private game with friends, join an open game anyone can enter, or hop into a competitive season with the whole community. Follow creators who run their own branded leagues. Every pick is scored against real outcomes — your feed, your DMs, and the leaderboards all track what everyone called.
Build a Record That Follows You
Every pick you make is permanent and public. Accuracy, streaks, tier, Arena Points — all visible on your profile. Your record is what makes the social layer real: follows and posts back by actual forecast history, not vibes.
The Deepest Categorization in Prediction Markets
Eight top-level categories, hundreds of subcategories, and thousands of entities — organized four levels deep so you can find exactly the topics you follow.
Cards below show a snapshot of each category. The full tree is deeper.
Tagged by Entity
Every market is tagged with specific people, companies, teams, countries, and more. Follow and filter by the entities that matter to you.
Markets & Events
You've seen the categories and the entities. Here's what the thing you actually pick on looks like.
“Who will win the 2028 presidential election?”
24 events · Ends Nov 7, 2028 · $42.3M volume
“Will JD Vance win the 2028 presidential election?”
“Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?”
58 events · Ends Jul 19, 2026 · $28.5M volume
“Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?”
Markets contain events. Events have live odds. You pick your position — and your accuracy is scored when the outcome resolves.
Host your own game. Or join anyone else's.
Prediction Arena is a game engine. Pick any slice of the market data — a category, a single market, a set of entities — and wrap it in a game. Choose a format, set the rules, invite your friends or open it to the world. The engine handles rounds, scoring, and live ranking.
Any category, subcategory, set of entities, or hand-picked list of events. A crypto game, a 2028 election game, a game on everything involving OpenAI — whatever you want.
Seasons, tournaments, matches — just the starting points. Set the round count, duration, scoring rules, and elimination logic. The engine runs it.
Invite your friends directly, share a join code with a group chat, open it up to your followers, or make it public to the whole community.
On top of the engine, every game runs in one of two modes —
Friendly & Competitive
Same engine, two different stakes. The only real difference is whether the result moves your global skill ranking.
Your game, your rules, your people.
You pick the topic, the format, and who's in. Invite your group chat, host an open community game, or set up a recurring league for your Discord. Picks still score against real outcomes — the difference is that results don't touch your global rank. Play for bragging rights, not a permanent record.
Same game for everyone. One global scoreboard.
Official Arena-run games with standardized markets and standardized rules. Every player faces the same slate, so results are directly comparable. Every pick moves your Arena Points and climbs you through tiers from Bronze to Grand Champion. Your record is permanent and public.
Every game has a scoreboard.
Picks are scored against real outcomes. Players climb. Results are live. Toggle between games to see what a leaderboard actually looks like mid-flight.
AR = Arena Return (per-pick edge) · Δ = rank change since last round
View all Competitive games →Creators build the audience. Sponsors reach it.
Hosts grow communities around their games. Brands back the competitions those communities show up for. Prediction Arena is the marketplace in the middle.
Build an audience around your takes.
Host games on the topics you know best — crypto, politics, AI, sports, culture — and build a community of players around your name. Curate the markets, set the rules, run a recurring season. The audience you build is yours, and every channel on top of it — referral revenue, sponsor partnerships, pick sales, brand deals — compounds from there.
Reach the audience creators have built.
Back the seasons, tournaments, and leagues creators are already running. Fund the prize pool, brand the competition, and put your name in front of a category-matched audience that's actively paying attention — crypto, tech, politics, sports, whatever your product fits.
Past the noise
The internet is buried in loud takes. You shouldn't have to sort through all of it to find who's actually worth listening to — just open the leaderboard. Every opinion here carries a track record, so the sharpest forecasters surface on their own.
The arena is open.
Follow forecasters, post your picks, let real markets settle the score. Every take backed by a record that compounds over time.
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